Tennessee Governor race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Tennessee election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
Tennessee Governor race
Tennessee · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Photograph credits
Jerri Green, photo by Zach Kinslow, via Wikimedia Commons. CC BY 4.0
R +12.5 across 2 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies ↗ | Oct 16, 2026 | 635 likely voters | Marsha Blackburn 44% · Jerri Green 32% · David Hatley 12% |
| Targoz Market Research ↗ | Aug 26, 2026 | 1,149 registered voters | Marsha Blackburn 46% · Jerri Green 33% · Independent 8% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.