New Hampshire Governor race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: New Hampshire election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
New Hampshire Governor race
New Hampshire · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
R +9.5 across 6 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | Oct 31, 2026 | 2,040 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 48% · Cinde Warmington 48% · Stephen Villee 2% |
| Saint Anselm ↗ | Oct 20, 2026 | 1,672 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 50% · Cinde Warmington 42% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov ↗ | Oct 19, 2026 | 600 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 48% · Cinde Warmington 42% · Stephen Villee 3% |
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Sep 22, 2026 | 613 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 52% · Cinde Warmington 41% |
| co/efficient ↗ | Sep 11, 2026 | 958 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 55% · Cinde Warmington 34% |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center ↗ | Aug 18, 2026 | 1,411 likely voters | Kelly Ayotte 49% · Cinde Warmington 38% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.