Nevada Governor race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Nevada election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
Nevada Governor race
Nevada · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
D +1.7 across 3 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates ↗ | Oct 25, 2026 | 950 likely voters | Joe Lombardo 45% · Aaron Ford 49% |
| Noble Predictive Insights ↗ | Sep 26, 2026 | 800 registered voters | Joe Lombardo 38% · Aaron Ford 37% · Danielle Ford 7% |
| Emerson College ↗ | Sep 8, 2026 | 680 likely voters | Joe Lombardo 42% · Aaron Ford 44.2% · Danielle Ford 2.4% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.