Massachusetts Senate race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Massachusetts election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. SenateResults Pre-election polling average
Massachusetts Senate race
Massachusetts · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Photograph credits
John Deaton, photo by Jeff Dranetz, via Wikimedia Commons. CC BY 3.0
D +26.2 across 5 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | Oct 31, 2026 | 905 likely voters | Ed Markey 53% · John Deaton 32% · Joe Tache 7% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov ↗ | Oct 18, 2026 | 850 likely voters | Ed Markey 55% · John Deaton 26% |
| Suffolk University ↗ | Oct 17, 2026 | 500 likely voters | Ed Markey 60% · John Deaton 32% · Joe Tache 1% |
| University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov ↗ | Oct 12, 2026 | 800 registered voters | Ed Markey 56% · John Deaton 29% · Joe Tache 3% |
| MassINC Polling Group ↗ | Sep 22, 2026 | 800 likely voters | Ed Markey 52% · John Deaton 26% · Joe Tache 2% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.