Maine Senate race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Maine election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. SenateResults Pre-election polling average
Maine Senate race
Maine · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Photograph credits
D +3.7 across 12 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 714 likely voters | Troy Jackson 51% · Susan Collins 45% |
| Survey 160 ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 1,322 likely voters | Troy Jackson 50% · Susan Collins 46% |
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | Oct 31, 2026 | 1,654 likely voters | Troy Jackson 54% · Susan Collins 45% |
| CNN/SSRS ↗ | Oct 26, 2026 | 783 likely voters | Troy Jackson 49% · Susan Collins 45% |
| Marist University ↗ | Oct 25, 2026 | 1,449 likely voters | Troy Jackson 49% · Susan Collins 47% |
| Echelon Insights ↗ | Oct 23, 2026 | 413 likely voters | Troy Jackson 51% · Susan Collins 44% |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research ↗ | Oct 20, 2026 | 1,514 likely voters | Troy Jackson 49% · Susan Collins 49% |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | Oct 14, 2026 | 1,200 likely voters | Troy Jackson 49% · Susan Collins 47% |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government ↗ |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.