Kansas Senate race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Kansas election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. SenateResults Pre-election polling average
Kansas Senate race
Kansas · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
D +4.1 across 7 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 736 likely voters | Roger Marshall 44% · Adam Hamilton 49% · David Graham 4% |
| Survey 160 ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 1,365 likely voters | Roger Marshall 43% · Adam Hamilton 50% |
| Emerson College ↗ | Oct 28, 2026 | 800 likely voters | Roger Marshall 47.1% · Adam Hamilton 49.5% · David Graham 3.4% |
| CNN/SSRS ↗ | Oct 26, 2026 | 838 likely voters | Roger Marshall 45% · Adam Hamilton 49% |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government ↗ | Oct 26, 2026 | 801 likely voters | Roger Marshall 43% · Adam Hamilton 52% · David Graham 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | Oct 14, 2026 | 1,200 likely voters | Roger Marshall 48% · Adam Hamilton 47% |
| Wedgewood Polls ↗ | Sep 24, 2026 | 500 likely voters | Roger Marshall 48% · Adam Hamilton 50% · David Graham 2% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.