Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Kansas election office ↗.
Kansas · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Kansas election office ↗.
R +0.9 across 7 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 736 likely voters | Ty Masterson 47% · Cindy Holscher 48% |
| Survey 160 ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 1,267 likely voters | Ty Masterson 47% · Cindy Holscher 49% |
| YouGov ↗ | Oct 29, 2026 | 2,092 likely voters | Ty Masterson 50% · Cindy Holscher 49% |
| Emerson College ↗ | Oct 28, 2026 | 800 likely voters | Ty Masterson 52.5% · Cindy Holscher 47.5% |
| CNN/SSRS ↗ | Oct 26, 2026 | 838 likely voters | Ty Masterson 50% · Cindy Holscher 45% |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government ↗ | Oct 26, 2026 | 801 likely voters | Ty Masterson 45% · Cindy Holscher 51% |
| Wedgewood Polls ↗ | Sep 24, 2026 | 500 likely voters | Ty Masterson 52% · Cindy Holscher 48% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.