Iowa Senate race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Iowa election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. SenateResults Pre-election polling average
Iowa Senate race
Iowa · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Even across 12 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 705 likely voters | Josh Turek 48% · Ashley Hinson 47% |
| GrayHouse ↗ | Oct 31, 2026 | 601 likely voters | Ashley Hinson 48% · Josh Turek 46% · Thomas Laehn 2% |
| Echelon Insights ↗ | Oct 23, 2026 | 403 likely voters | Josh Turek 45% · Ashley Hinson 43% · Thomas Laehn 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage ↗ | Oct 22, 2026 | 1,200 likely voters | Ashley Hinson 47% · Josh Turek 45% |
| New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group ↗ | Oct 13, 2026 | 602 likely voters | Ashley Hinson 44% · Josh Turek 46% · Thomas Laehn 8% |
| YouGov ↗ | Oct 12, 2026 | 2,245 likely voters | Ashley Hinson 46% · Josh Turek 47% |
| National Public Affairs ↗ | Oct 12, 2026 | 678 likely voters | Ashley Hinson 47% · Josh Turek 44% · Thomas Laehn 4% |
| Marist University ↗ | Oct 11, 2026 | 1,100 likely voters | Ashley Hinson 45% · Josh Turek 48% |
| Emerson College ↗ |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.