Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Iowa election office ↗.
Iowa · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Rob Sand, photo by Rob Sand for Iowa, via Wikimedia Commons.; Zach Lahn, photo by Aunger67, via Wikimedia Commons.
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Iowa election office ↗.
D +6.7 across 11 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Nov 1, 2026 | 705 likely voters | Rob Sand 51% · Zach Lahn 43% |
| YouGov ↗ | Oct 29, 2026 | 2,020 likely voters | Rob Sand 53% · Zach Lahn 46% |
| Echelon Insights ↗ | Oct 23, 2026 | 403 likely voters | Rob Sand 50% · Zach Lahn 46% |
| New River ↗ | Oct 13, 2026 | 602 likely voters | Rob Sand 54% · Zach Lahn 43% |
| National Public Affairs ↗ | Oct 12, 2026 | 678 likely voters | Rob Sand 50% · Zach Lahn 45% |
| Marist University ↗ | Oct 11, 2026 | 1,100 likely voters | Rob Sand 52% · Zach Lahn 45% |
| Emerson College ↗ | Oct 6, 2026 | 650 likely voters | Rob Sand 49% · Zach Lahn 45.3% |
| CNN/SSRS ↗ | Oct 5, 2026 | 801 likely voters | Rob Sand 51% · Zach Lahn 42% |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research ↗ | Sep 28, 2026 | 1,008 likely voters |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.
| Rob Sand 53% · Zach Lahn 44% |
| Wedgewood Polls ↗ | Aug 29, 2026 | 600 likely voters | Rob Sand 51% · Zach Lahn 46% |
| Suffolk University ↗ | Aug 23, 2026 | 500 likely voters | Rob Sand 47.8% · Zach Lahn 43.6% |