NY-21 House raceAwaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: New York election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. House · NY-21Results Pre-election polling average
NY-21 House race
New York
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Blake Gendebien
Anthony Constantino
Constantino +1.7 across 3 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siena University ↗ | Oct 6, 2026 | 496 likely voters | Blake Gendebien 46% · Anthony Constantino 42% · Christopher Schmidt 5% |
| J.L. Partners ↗ | Aug 17, 2026 | 500 likely voters | Anthony Constantino 53% · Blake Gendebien 40% |
| SurveyUSA ↗ | Aug 8, 2026 | 800 adults | Anthony Constantino 39% · Blake Gendebien 43% · Chris Schmidt 5% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.