NY-17 House race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: New York election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. House · NY-17Results Pre-election polling average
NY-17 House race
New York
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Photograph credits
Lawler +1.5 across 2 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ↗ | Sep 29, 2026 | 400 likely voters | Cait Conley 48% · Mike Lawler 46% |
| co/efficient ↗ | Jul 22, 2026 | 1,292 likely voters | Cait Conley 45% · Mike Lawler 50% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.