MN-01 House race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Minnesota election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. House · MN-01Results Pre-election polling average
MN-01 House race
Minnesota
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Jake Johnson
Johnson +2.0 across 1 nonpartisan poll of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA ↗ | Oct 9, 2026 | 565 likely voters | Brad Finstad 44% · Jake Johnson 46% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.