Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Michigan election office ↗.
Michigan
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Michigan election office ↗.
D +8.0 across 1 nonpartisan poll of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Official general-election candidate listing
Michigan Department of State · Reviewed Sep 15, 2026
Named candidates on the official list at the review date. Disqualified filings are excluded. Check the election office for revisions and write-in candidates.
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College ↗ | Oct 14, 2026 | 314 likely voters | William Lawrence 53% · Tom Barrett 45% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.