CA-11 House raceAwaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: California election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. House · CA-11Results Pre-election polling average
CA-11 House race
California
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Scott Wiener
Connie Chan
Wiener +7.0 across 1 nonpartisan poll of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab ↗ | Oct 19, 2026 | 454 likely voters | Scott Wiener 51% · Connie Chan 44% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.