CA-06 House race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: California election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. House · CA-06
Richard PanResults Pre-election polling average
CA-06 House race
California
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Richard PanPhotograph credits
Richard Pan, photo by Dr. Richard Pan from Sacramento, CA, USA, via Wikimedia Commons. CC BY-SA 2.0
Pan +8.0 across 2 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab/University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research ↗ | Oct 28, 2026 | 439 likely voters | Richard Pan 55% · Kevin Kiley 43% |
| The Bullfinch Group ↗ | Jul 16, 2026 | 741 likely voters | Richard Pan 39% · Kevin Kiley 35% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.