AZ-01 House raceAwaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Arizona election office ↗.
2026 · U.S. House · AZ-01Results Pre-election polling average
AZ-01 House race
Arizona
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Amish Shah
Jay Feely
Shah +3.4 across 2 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keating Research ↗ | Oct 28, 2026 | 500 likely voters | Amish Shah 49% · Jay Feely 45% |
| FirstStrategic ↗ | Oct 1, 2026 | 400 likely voters | Amish Shah 44.4% · Jay Feely 41.6% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.