Florida Governor race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Florida election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
Florida Governor race
Florida · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
R +4.3 across 10 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| RedBox Research ↗ | Oct 31, 2026 | 2,898 likely voters | Byron Donalds 47% · David Jolly 46% · Scott Jewett 1% |
| Echelon Insights ↗ | Oct 23, 2026 | 515 likely voters | Byron Donalds 50% · David Jolly 44% · Scott Jewett 1% |
| ActiVote ↗ | Oct 19, 2026 | 400 likely voters | Byron Donalds 51.7% · David Jolly 48.3% |
| University of North Florida ↗ | Oct 19, 2026 | 1,378 likely voters | Byron Donalds 49% · David Jolly 47% |
| YouGov ↗ | Oct 15, 2026 | 825 registered voters | Byron Donalds 50% · David Jolly 42% |
| MDW Communications ↗ | Oct 10, 2026 | 2,351 likely voters | Byron Donalds 46% · David Jolly 44% |
| St. Pete Polls ↗ | Oct 7, 2026 | 836 likely voters | Byron Donalds 45% · David Jolly 45% |
| Targoz Market Research ↗ | Oct 4, 2026 | 857 likely voters | David Jolly 42% · Byron Donalds 52% |
| Change Research ↗ |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.