Connecticut Governor race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Connecticut election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
Connecticut Governor race
Connecticut · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Photograph credits
Ryan Fazio, photo by James Naleski, via Wikimedia Commons. CC BY-SA 4.0
D +18.5 across 5 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire ↗ | Oct 31, 2026 | 811 likely voters | Ned Lamont 54% · Ryan Fazio 41% |
| Emerson College ↗ | Oct 12, 2026 | 800 likely voters | Ned Lamont 51.4% · Ryan Fazio 37.8% |
| Quinnipiac University ↗ | Oct 12, 2026 | 702 likely voters | Ned Lamont 58% · Ryan Fazio 38% |
| GreatBlue Research ↗ | Oct 12, 2026 | 1,000 registered voters | Ned Lamont 56% · Ryan Fazio 33% |
| Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov ↗ | Oct 7, 2026 | — likely voters | Ned Lamont 57% · Ryan Fazio 34% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.