California Governor race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: California election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
California Governor race
California · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
Photograph credits
Xavier Becerra, photo by Office of the Attorney General of California, via Wikimedia Commons.; Steve Hilton, photo by Gage Skidmore, via Wikimedia Commons. CC BY 2.0
D +24.4 across 5 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies ↗ | Oct 25, 2026 | 1,477 likely voters | Xavier Becerra 61% · Steve Hilton 34% |
| SurveyUSA ↗ | Oct 24, 2026 | 799 likely voters | Xavier Becerra 54% · Steve Hilton 32% |
| Emerson College ↗ | Oct 19, 2026 | 1,000 likely voters | Xavier Becerra 64% · Steve Hilton 36% |
| University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/Verasight/TrueDot ↗ | Oct 14, 2026 | 909 likely voters | Xavier Becerra 55% · Steve Hilton 35% |
| Kreate Strategies ↗ | Jun 17, 2026 | 900 likely voters | Xavier Becerra 58% · Steve Hilton 33% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.