Arizona Governor race
Awaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Arizona election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
Arizona Governor race
Arizona · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
D +8.5 across 11 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights ↗ | Oct 28, 2026 | 511 likely voters | Katie Hobbs 51% · Andy Biggs 45% · Teri Ann Hourihan 1% |
| GrayHouse ↗ | Oct 20, 2026 | 550 likely voters | Katie Hobbs 51% · Andy Biggs 45% · Teri Ann Hourihan 2% |
| Equis Research ↗ | Oct 9, 2026 | 1,214 registered voters | Katie Hobbs 49% · Andy Biggs 43% |
| Lake Research Partners ↗ | Sep 30, 2026 | 600 registered voters | Katie Hobbs 56% · Andy Biggs 33% |
| BSP Research ↗ | Sep 4, 2026 | — likely voters | Katie Hobbs 47% · Andy Biggs 34% · Teri Ann Hourihan 2% |
| NextGen Polling ↗ | Aug 19, 2026 | 1,627 registered voters | Katie Hobbs 39% · Andy Biggs 38% · Risa Lombardo 1% |
| HighGround ↗ | Aug 18, 2026 | 400 likely voters | Katie Hobbs 50% · Andy Biggs 34% · Teri Hourihan 2% |
| Quantus Insights ↗ | Aug 17, 2026 | 780 likely voters | Katie Hobbs 49% · Andy Biggs 43% |
| Stealth Analytics ↗ | Aug 13, 2026 | 530 likely voters | Katie Hobbs 43% · Andy Biggs 38% |
| The Tarrance Group ↗ |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.