Alaska Governor raceAwaiting a verified result
The Baseline has not added a verified result for this race. The election office may have newer totals. Closing times vary by state and locality. Official source: Alaska election office ↗.
2026 · GovernorResults Pre-election polling average
Alaska Governor race
Alaska · General election, November 3, 2026
Matchup in the latest qualifying poll
D +7.7 across 4 nonpartisan polls of this matchup
Latest poll per pollster from the last 180 days, equal weight, current top-two matchup only. Polls that tested other pairings, such as pre-primary hypotheticals, are left out of the table below as well. Not a forecast — state polls are sparse and carry wider error than national averages.
Candidates on the official list
- Dave BronsonRunning mate: Josh ChurchRegistered Republican
- Jonathan S. "JKT" Kreiss-TomkinsRunning mate: Zac JohnsonRegistered Democrat / Nonpartisan
- Treg TaylorRunning mate: Candi EnglishRegistered Republican
- Bernadette M. WilsonRunning mate: Michael K. ShowerRegistered Republican
November 3 official sample ballot
Alaska Division of Elections · Reviewed Sep 15, 2026
Named candidates from the statewide contests on the District 1 sample; ballot order rotates. Party registration does not imply endorsement. Write-in candidates are not listed here.
Every poll counted
Recent nonpartisan polls
| Pollster | Field date | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University ↗ | Oct 30, 2026 | 610 likely voters | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 54% · Bernadette Wilson 46% |
| Alaska Survey Research ↗ | Oct 25, 2026 | 1,068 likely voters | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53.4% · Bernadette Wilson 46.6% |
| Data for Progress ↗ | Oct 16, 2026 | 629 likely voters | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53% · Bernadette Wilson 47% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research ↗ | Sep 11, 2026 | 800 likely voters | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 55% · Bernadette Wilson 45% |
Polling data via VoteHub Polling API, licensed CC BY 4.0. The Baseline computes the displayed average; VoteHub does not endorse it. Partisan and campaign-internal polls are excluded.